Ajax 2-0 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 19 Dec 2024

Ajax
2-0 HT 0-0
Telstar
📅19/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.94
Over 2.5
70%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.98
2-3 Goals
34%
2.52
4-5 Goals
31%
2.22
6+ Goals
19%
3.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
78%
-8.0pp
16%
Draw
13%
+3.0pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.9pp
30%
Under 2.5
22%
+8.7pp
70%
Over 2.5
78%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
3.80/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.97
+78% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
462 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
59.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.8 Crosses 13.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Telstar
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
392 Passes 259
18.12.2019 Telstar Telstar 3-4 HT 1-2 Ajax Ajax HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax
2-0
AWAY Telstar
1.51 xG 0.12
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
554 Passes 247
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax beat Telstar 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax had 66% of the ball to Telstar's 34%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.51 to 0.12.

What was the final score of Ajax vs Telstar?

Ajax 2-0 Telstar in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Ajax 70%, draw 16%, Telstar 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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