Noordwijk 2-1 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.1pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -55%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noordwijk
2-1
AWAY Willem II
0.73 xG 1.48
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
193 Passes 369
64% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Noordwijk vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Noordwijk squeezed past Willem II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Willem II at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Noordwijk had 39% of the ball to Willem II's 61%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 0.73 to 1.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Willem II.

What was the final score of Noordwijk vs Willem II?

Noordwijk 2-1 Willem II in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 28%, draw 20%, Willem II 52%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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