De Graafschap 4-0 Sparta Nijkerk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.29
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
73%
-20.3pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.5pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+12.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Nijkerk EU Bookmakers 15%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+23% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH De Graafschap vs Sparta Nijkerk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

De Graafschap swept aside Sparta Nijkerk 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Sparta Nijkerk?

De Graafschap 4-0 Sparta Nijkerk in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Sparta Nijkerk?

Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 52%, draw 23%, Sparta Nijkerk 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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