11/01/2026
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Ulinzi Stars vs Nairobi United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
36%
39%
Draw
34%
33%
Away Win
30%
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
57%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ulinzi Stars v Nairobi United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ulinzi Stars
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nairobi United
EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-51% /
-51%
0.96/0.73
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.51
+9%
/
+19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-41%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
276 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
206 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.8
Yellow Cards
1.5
POST-MATCH
Ulinzi Stars vs Nairobi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ulinzi Stars and Nairobi United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (28% / 39% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Nairobi United?
Ulinzi Stars 1-1 Nairobi United in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Nairobi United?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 28%, draw 39%, Nairobi United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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KEN
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11 Jan 2026