Tusker 0-4 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.44
No
46%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.4pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
37%
+16.7pp
46%
BTTS No
63%
-16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.72/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.04
-16% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
276 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Leopards SC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Tusker Tusker 0-0 HT 0-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
11.12.2024 Leopards SC Leopards SC 4-1 HT 1-0 Tusker Tusker KEN
10.03.2024 Tusker Tusker 1-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
26.09.2021 Leopards SC Leopards SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Tusker Tusker KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tusker
0-4
AWAY Leopards SC
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tusker vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC cruised past Tusker 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Leopards SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tusker had 56% of the ball to Leopards SC's 44%, shots finished 22-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Leopards SC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tusker and 1.25 for Leopards SC.

What was the final score of Tusker vs Leopards SC?

Tusker 0-4 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tusker 35%, draw 31%, Leopards SC 34%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tusker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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