Tusker 0-0 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
0.82/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.04
-22% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +144% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Leopards SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2024 Leopards SC Leopards SC 4-1 HT 1-0 Tusker Tusker KEN
10.03.2024 Tusker Tusker 1-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
26.09.2021 Leopards SC Leopards SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Tusker Tusker KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tusker
0-0
AWAY Leopards SC
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tusker vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker and Leopards SC fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Tusker had 47% of the ball to Leopards SC's 53%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leopards SC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tusker and 1.67 for Leopards SC.

What was the final score of Tusker vs Leopards SC?

Tusker 0-0 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tusker 40%, draw 33%, Leopards SC 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tusker) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tusker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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