Kepezspor FAŞ 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
50%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
50%
Away Win
60%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kepezspor FAŞ EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 64%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+15% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kepezspor FAŞ
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-1 HT 1-0 Kepezspor FAŞ Kepezspor FAŞ T2L-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kepezspor FAŞ
2-1
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kepezspor FAŞ vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kepezspor FAŞ squeezed past Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Karacabey Belediye Spor at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kepezspor FAŞ had 47% of the ball to Karacabey Belediye Spor's 53%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Kepezspor FAŞ vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Kepezspor FAŞ 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kepezspor FAŞ vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kepezspor FAŞ 23%, draw 27%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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