Slavia Prag 4-3 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
6.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.6pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.4pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.44/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.33
+23% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
463 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
53.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
32.0 Crosses 14.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jablonec
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
29.01.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 5-1 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.08.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 2-3 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
17.04.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
21.11.2021 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 5-0 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
23.05.2021 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
4-3
AWAY Jablonec
3.13 xG 1.90
69% Ball Possession 31%
29 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
412 Passes 148
81% Pass Accuracy 59%
51 Box Touches 7
59 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag nicked a narrow win over Jablonec 4-3. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 69% of the ball to Jablonec's 31%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 3.13 to 1.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Slavia Prag's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Slavia Prag and 1.00 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Jablonec?

Slavia Prag 4-3 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 62%, draw 21%, Jablonec 16%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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