Teplice 2-1 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.62/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.27
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
14.05.2023 Teplice Teplice 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
11.02.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-1 HT 2-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
27.08.2022 Teplice Teplice 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
01.05.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 3-0 HT 3-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
04.12.2021 Teplice Teplice 4-1 HT 0-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
2-1
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
1.94 xG 0.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
207 Passes 298
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Teplice vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teplice nicked a narrow win over FC Fastav Zlin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Teplice as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Teplice had 44% of the ball to FC Fastav Zlin's 56%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.94 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Teplice's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fastav Zlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Teplice and 1.50 for FC Fastav Zlin.

What was the final score of Teplice vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Teplice 2-1 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Teplice 47%, draw 29%, FC Fastav Zlin 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teplice) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Teplice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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