Airdrieonian 1-4 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 11 Feb 2024

Airdrieonian
1-4 HT 1-3
Hearts
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2025/2026

Airdrieonian vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
52%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 31% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.69
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X
7%
16.55
X/1
12%
11.1
X/2
24%
3.73
X/X
12%
5.53
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
21%
1.93
2/X
5%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.3pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Airdrieonian v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonian EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 64%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.02/0.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.53
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +89%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
221 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Airdrieonian vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonian
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hearts
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 8
The Meetings
18.01.2020 Hearts Hearts 5-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonian Airdrieonian İKK
27.08.2008 Hearts Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Airdrieonian Airdrieonian İKLK
POST-MATCH Airdrieonian vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts ran out comfortable winners over Airdrieonian 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Airdrieonian and 2.50 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Airdrieonian vs Hearts?

Airdrieonian 1-4 Hearts in the Scotland - Cup on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonian vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonian 24%, draw 24%, Hearts 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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