St. Mirren 0-2 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
49%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
12.45
1/2
7%
22.05
1/X
9%
20.6
X/1
9%
15.8
X/2
16%
3.44
X/X
11%
6.95
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
25%
1.6
2/X
6%
20.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
13%
+12.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.2pp
49%
Away Win
68%
-19.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 72%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
0.92/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.55
+21% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +42%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 21.2
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celtic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.67 xG 2.70
24% Ball Possession 76%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
140 Passes 664
60% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.01.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
01.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
20.05.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
05.03.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-5 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
11.02.2023 Celtic Celtic 5-1 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKK
18.01.2023 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
0-2
AWAY Celtic
35% Ball Possession 65%
18 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
177 Passes 479
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 32
35 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic saw off St. Mirren 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St. Mirren had 35% of the ball to Celtic's 65%, shots finished 18-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Mirren and 3.50 for Celtic.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Celtic?

St. Mirren 0-2 Celtic in the Scotland - Cup on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 25%, draw 26%, Celtic 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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