St. Mirren 0-3 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Jan 2024

St. Mirren
0-3 HT 0-2
Celtic
📅02/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

St. Mirren vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.78
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
55%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 26% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
17.35
1/2
8%
23.85
1/X
7%
24.3
X/1
9%
21.75
X/2
18%
3.37
X/X
6%
7.79
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
29%
1.46
2/X
10%
23.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+12.5pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.1pp
55%
Away Win
73%
-18.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Mirren v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 78%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.55/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.77
-37% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +1%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
202 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 490 · 84%
10.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.7
15.3 Crosses 24.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3

St. Mirren vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Celtic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.80 xG 2.21
23% Ball Possession 77%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
125 Passes 659
57% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
20.05.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
05.03.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-5 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
11.02.2023 Celtic Celtic 5-1 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKK
18.01.2023 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
18.09.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP

St. Mirren 0-3 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
0-3
AWAY Celtic
0.18 xG 3.59
27% Ball Possession 73%
3 Total Shots 24
0 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 12
169 Passes 646
62% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 53
9 Crosses 34
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic ran out comfortable winners over St. Mirren 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, St. Mirren had 27% of the ball to Celtic's 73%, shots finished 3-24, expected goals 0.18 to 3.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Mirren and 3.00 for Celtic.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Celtic?

St. Mirren 0-3 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 22%, draw 23%, Celtic 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ BTTS No
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