Hibernian 2-2 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Jan 2024

📅02/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.66
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.34
X/2
10%
7.38
X/X
14%
4.59
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
15%
5.6
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.29/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.30
-1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
22.0 Crosses 19.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 210
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
01.04.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-3 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
08.01.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 2-3 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
08.10.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
13.03.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKK
26.01.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
2-2
AWAY Motherwell
0.72 xG 1.53
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
455 Passes 172
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 16
39 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian and Motherwell couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernian had 68% of the ball to Motherwell's 32%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.72 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hibernian and 1.33 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Motherwell?

Hibernian 2-2 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 43%, draw 27%, Motherwell 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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