Ross County 0-3 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Jan 2024

Ross County
0-3 HT 0-2
Aberdeen
📅02/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Ross County vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.39
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
11%
13.25
X/1
12%
6.04
X/2
9%
4.95
X/X
11%
4.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
33.5
2/2
18%
3.32
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 33.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.05/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.96
-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.4 Crosses 21.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ross County vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
192 Passes 264
60% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
24.09.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-0 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
14.04.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
02.01.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
03.09.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
09.04.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP

Ross County 0-3 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
0-3
AWAY Aberdeen
0.14 xG 1.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 304
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen ran out comfortable winners over Ross County 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aberdeen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ross County had 53% of the ball to Aberdeen's 47%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.14 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ross County and 1.33 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Aberdeen?

Ross County 0-3 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ross County 36%, draw 28%, Aberdeen 36%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ BTTS Yes
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