Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Jan 2024

📅02/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.61
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 26% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.41
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
27.5
X/1
21%
3.27
X/2
8%
24.7
X/X
6%
8.15
2/1
12%
25.0
2/2
6%
20.35
2/X
10%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
75%
-16.2pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+10.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rangers EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
2.49/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.21
+8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +9%
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
478 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 64%
40.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
28.5 Crosses 13.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rangers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.20 xG 0.51
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
525 Passes 181
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
33 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
04.03.2023 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 3-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
18.01.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-3 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
06.08.2022 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
13.02.2021 Rangers Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
01.11.2020 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rangers
3-1
AWAY Kilmarnock
2.27 xG 1.55
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
451 Passes 253
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rangers vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rangers had 61% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 39%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.27 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rangers and 0.67 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Rangers vs Kilmarnock?

Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rangers vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Rangers 59%, draw 23%, Kilmarnock 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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