Greuther Fürth 1-2 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 11 Feb 2024

Greuther Fürth
1-2 HT 0-1
Hertha Berlin
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.7
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
20%
4.69
X/2
8%
7.01
X/X
11%
5.25
2/1
7%
22.45
2/2
15%
4.72
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth v Hertha Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.69/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.42
-7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
21.3 Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.68 xG 1.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
280 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 5-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
12.02.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
17.09.2021 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-1 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL1
14.03.2011 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
22.10.2010 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2

Greuther Fürth 1-2 Hertha Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
1-2
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.06 xG 0.97
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
444 Passes 216
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin nicked a narrow win over Greuther Fürth 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 64% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 36%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.06 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Greuther Fürth and 2.40 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin?

Greuther Fürth 1-2 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 44%, draw 28%, Hertha Berlin 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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