Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holstein Kiel v Schalke 04 — Team-Based Signals
Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Holstein Kiel
AL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Holstein Kiel
AL2
0-3
HT 0-2
Schalke 04
AL2
Holstein Kiel 1-0 Schalke 04 — Actual Match Statistics
Holstein Kiel nicked a narrow win over Schalke 04 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Holstein Kiel found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Holstein Kiel had 60% of the ball to Schalke 04's 40%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.27 to 0.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Holstein Kiel's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holstein Kiel and 1.33 for Schalke 04.
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04?
Holstein Kiel 1-0 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04?
Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 39%, draw 27%, Schalke 04 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstein Kiel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.