Hercilio Luz vs Marcilio Dias Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hercilio Luz v Marcilio Dias — Team-Based Signals
Hercilio Luz vs Marcilio Dias Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Hercilio Luz
BRCAT1
0-0
HT 0-0
Hercilio Luz
BRCAT1
1-0
HT 0-0
Marcilio Dias
BRCAT1
Hercilio Luz 2-0 Marcilio Dias — Actual Match Statistics
Hercilio Luz saw off Marcilio Dias 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Hercilio Luz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Hercilio Luz had 43% of the ball to Marcilio Dias's 57%, shots finished 14-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hercilio Luz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hercilio Luz and 0.00 for Marcilio Dias.
What was the final score of Hercilio Luz vs Marcilio Dias?
Hercilio Luz 2-0 Marcilio Dias in the Brazil - Catarinense 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hercilio Luz vs Marcilio Dias?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hercilio Luz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hercilio Luz 39%, draw 29%, Marcilio Dias 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hercilio Luz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.