Avenida 2-0 Ypiranga Erechim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Gaucho 1, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avenida The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ypiranga Erechim The Market 55%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avenida
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ypiranga Erechim
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 4
29.01.2023 Avenida Avenida 1-0 HT 1-0 Ypiranga Erechim Ypiranga Erechim BRG1
POST-MATCH Avenida vs Ypiranga Erechim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avenida beat Ypiranga Erechim 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ypiranga Erechim at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Avenida vs Ypiranga Erechim?

Avenida 2-0 Ypiranga Erechim in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avenida vs Ypiranga Erechim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ypiranga Erechim win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Avenida 31%, draw 23%, Ypiranga Erechim 47%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ypiranga Erechim) ✗ BTTS Yes
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