Gremio Esportivo Brasil 1-1 Guarany De Bage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Gaucho 1, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio Esportivo Brasil The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Guarany De Bage The Market 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio Esportivo Brasil
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Guarany De Bage
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2022 Gremio Esportivo Brasil Gremio Esportivo Brasil 4-1 HT 3-0 Guarany De Bage Guarany De Bage BRG1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio Esportivo Brasil
1-1
AWAY Guarany De Bage
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gremio Esportivo Brasil vs Guarany De Bage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio Esportivo Brasil and Guarany De Bage shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gremio Esportivo Brasil at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gremio Esportivo Brasil had 50% of the ball to Guarany De Bage's 50%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Gremio Esportivo Brasil vs Guarany De Bage?

Gremio Esportivo Brasil 1-1 Guarany De Bage in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio Esportivo Brasil vs Guarany De Bage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio Esportivo Brasil win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gremio Esportivo Brasil 50%, draw 27%, Guarany De Bage 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gremio Esportivo Brasil) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gremio Esportivo Brasil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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