Aruko Sports 1-3 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paranaense 1, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
32%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
34%
+8.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
40%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aruko Sports The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba The Market 43%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.14
-26% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aruko Sports
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Coritiba
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.01.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Aruko Sports BRPR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aruko Sports
1-3
AWAY Coritiba
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Aruko Sports vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba beat Aruko Sports 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Aruko Sports at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aruko Sports had 44% of the ball to Coritiba's 56%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of Aruko Sports vs Coritiba?

Aruko Sports 1-3 Coritiba in the Brazil - Paranaense 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aruko Sports vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aruko Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aruko Sports 43%, draw 30%, Coritiba 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aruko Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aruko Sports) ✓ BTTS Yes
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BRPR More Brazil - Paranaense 1
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