Independiente FSJ 2-1 FC Cascavel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paranaense 1, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente FSJ The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cascavel The Market 34%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.00/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.65
-27% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente FSJ
0W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Cascavel
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2023 FC Cascavel FC Cascavel 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ BRPR
17.02.2022 FC Cascavel FC Cascavel 2-1 HT 1-1 Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ BRPR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente FSJ
2-1
AWAY FC Cascavel
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Independiente FSJ vs FC Cascavel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente FSJ squeezed past FC Cascavel 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Independiente FSJ found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Independiente FSJ had 54% of the ball to FC Cascavel's 46%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Cascavel led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Independiente FSJ and 1.50 for FC Cascavel.

What was the final score of Independiente FSJ vs FC Cascavel?

Independiente FSJ 2-1 FC Cascavel in the Brazil - Paranaense 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente FSJ vs FC Cascavel?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Cascavel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Independiente FSJ 35%, draw 28%, FC Cascavel 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Cascavel), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cascavel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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