Bourges Moulon 1-4 Tours — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourges Moulon The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tours The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bourges Moulon vs Tours
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tours ran out comfortable winners over Bourges Moulon 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bourges Moulon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bourges Moulon vs Tours?

Bourges Moulon 1-4 Tours in the France - National League 3 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourges Moulon vs Tours?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourges Moulon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bourges Moulon 44%, draw 29%, Tours 27%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bourges Moulon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bourges Moulon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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