Jamshedpur 1-1 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 11 Feb 2024

Jamshedpur
1-1 HT 0-1
Bengaluru
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Jamshedpur vs Bengaluru Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.69
6+ Goals
13%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jamshedpur v Bengaluru — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.51/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.29
-25% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
24.9 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Jamshedpur vs Bengaluru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamshedpur
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bengaluru
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 1.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
200 Passes 290
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
18.01.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 0-3 HT 0-2 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
17.12.2022 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
05.02.2022 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-1 HT 0-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
20.12.2021 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 0-0 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
25.02.2021 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-2 HT 3-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL

Jamshedpur 1-1 Bengaluru — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamshedpur
1-1
AWAY Bengaluru
1.49 xG 0.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
329 Passes 235
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jamshedpur vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur and Bengaluru shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jamshedpur at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jamshedpur had 57% of the ball to Bengaluru's 43%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.49 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bengaluru led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jamshedpur and 1.67 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs Bengaluru?

Jamshedpur 1-1 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jamshedpur win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 45%, draw 29%, Bengaluru 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jamshedpur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jamshedpur) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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