Hajduk Split 4-0 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-12.7pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.7pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.64/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.52
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
23.5 Crosses 13.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.29 xG 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
352 Passes 242
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
13.08.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
19.05.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
12.04.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIRK
18.03.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
12.11.2022 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-2 HT 0-2 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
4-0
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.36 xG 0.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
418 Passes 213
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
35 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split swept aside Slaven Belupo 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 62% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 38%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.36 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.33 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo?

Hajduk Split 4-0 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 59%, draw 22%, Slaven Belupo 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
11 Feb 2024
19:10 HNK Gorica vs Rijeka Analysis →