HNK Gorica 0-2 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 11 Feb 2024

HNK Gorica
0-2 HT 0-0
Rijeka
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2025/2026

HNK Gorica vs Rijeka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
51%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
51%
Away Win
60%
-9.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HNK Gorica v Rijeka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 64%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
0.70/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.86
+29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
196 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 77%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
12.9 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

HNK Gorica vs Rijeka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rijeka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 290
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.01.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-3 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
29.10.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
23.04.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
12.02.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
09.10.2022 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-2 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
31.07.2022 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR

HNK Gorica 0-2 Rijeka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
0-2
AWAY Rijeka
1.56 xG 3.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
152 Passes 249
51% Pass Accuracy 63%
21 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HNK Gorica vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka got the better of HNK Gorica 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, HNK Gorica had 44% of the ball to Rijeka's 56%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.56 to 3.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.50 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Rijeka?

HNK Gorica 0-2 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 23%, draw 27%, Rijeka 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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