ADO Den Haag 3-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.34
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.58
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
11%
20.1
X/1
14%
3.45
X/2
7%
16.45
X/X
10%
6.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.45
2/2
7%
13.1
2/X
7%
20.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
70%
-17.4pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.8pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.72/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.98
+5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
25.5 Crosses 12.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
303 Passes 318
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
26.02.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
14.08.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-2 HT 0-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
06.02.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
10.10.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-2 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
05.02.2005 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
3-0
AWAY Den Bosch
1.38 xG 0.29
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
474 Passes 202
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag cruised past Den Bosch 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 66% of the ball to Den Bosch's 34%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.38 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ADO Den Haag and 0.83 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Den Bosch?

ADO Den Haag 3-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 52%, draw 28%, Den Bosch 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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