Groningen 3-0 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.36
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
29.0
X/1
17%
3.29
X/2
5%
26.5
X/X
6%
8.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.15
2/2
8%
21.6
2/X
5%
28.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.15 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
77%
-12.0pp
19%
Draw
15%
+3.3pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.61/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.65
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
443 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 68%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
18.8 Crosses 14.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Oss
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.60 xG 0.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
388 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-2 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
3-0
AWAY FC Oss
2.91 xG 0.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
457 Passes 273
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 5
25 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Groningen vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen cruised past FC Oss 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Groningen as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Groningen had 60% of the ball to FC Oss's 40%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.91 to 0.16.

What was the final score of Groningen vs FC Oss?

Groningen 3-0 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Groningen 65%, draw 19%, FC Oss 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Groningen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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