Utrecht 4-0 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 11 Feb 2024

Utrecht
4-0 HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.82
Over 2.5
60%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1
15%
3.74
X/2
6%
10.3
X/X
9%
4.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.15
2/2
10%
8.38
2/X
7%
16.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.15 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
51%
-11.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
49%
+11.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.79/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.79
-18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.8 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.39 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
335 Passes 332
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
03.03.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
02.09.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-4 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
09.04.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
18.12.2021 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
20.03.2021 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL

Utrecht 4-0 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
4-0
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.95 xG 0.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
330 Passes 353
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
FAQ Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Utrecht ran out comfortable winners over Fortuna Sittard 4-0 in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11 Feb 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Utrecht had 49% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 51%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.95 to 0.42.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utrecht and 1.33 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?

Utrecht 4-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 56%, draw 22%, Fortuna Sittard 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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