11/02/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
F91 Diddeleng vs Fola Esch Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
35%
4-5
23%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
64%
15%
Draw
22%
40%
Away Win
15%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
F91 Diddeleng v Fola Esch — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
F91 Diddeleng
The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fola Esch
The Market 18%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-23% /
-23%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-57%
/
-100%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
356 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
197 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
F91 Diddeleng vs Fola Esch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
F91 Diddeleng swept aside Fola Esch 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
Our pre-match split (45% / 15% / 40%) promised a tight game; F91 Diddeleng found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of F91 Diddeleng vs Fola Esch?
F91 Diddeleng 4-0 Fola Esch in the Luxembourg - National League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for F91 Diddeleng vs Fola Esch?
Before kick-off our model rated a F91 Diddeleng win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split F91 Diddeleng 45%, draw 15%, Fola Esch 40%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (F91 Diddeleng), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (F91 Diddeleng)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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LÜK
More Luxembourg - National League
11 Feb 2024