Swift Hesperange 3-3 Petange — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Luxembourg - National League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
37%
4-5
29%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swift Hesperange The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Petange The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Swift Hesperange vs Petange
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swift Hesperange and Petange couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Swift Hesperange at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Swift Hesperange vs Petange?

Swift Hesperange 3-3 Petange in the Luxembourg - National League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swift Hesperange vs Petange?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swift Hesperange win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Swift Hesperange 45%, draw 24%, Petange 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swift Hesperange), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swift Hesperange) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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