Diosgyor 1-2 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 11 Feb 2024

Diosgyor
1-2 HT 0-1
Ujpest
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Diosgyor vs Ujpest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diosgyor v Ujpest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
2.00/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.51
-1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
23.3 Crosses 21.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Diosgyor vs Ujpest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ujpest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.90 xG 1.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
408 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
29.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
12.02.2021 Ujpest Ujpest 1-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
07.03.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
23.11.2019 Ujpest Ujpest 0-2 HT 0-2 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
10.08.2019 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC

Diosgyor 1-2 Ujpest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
1-2
AWAY Ujpest
1.45 xG 1.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
410 Passes 296
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest squeezed past Diosgyor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Diosgyor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Diosgyor had 57% of the ball to Ujpest's 43%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.45 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Diosgyor and 1.00 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Ujpest?

Diosgyor 1-2 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 41%, draw 26%, Ujpest 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diosgyor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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