Paksi SE 1-0 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
2.05/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.26
+39% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
28.4 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 1.74
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
167 Passes 366
59% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
28.04.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-3 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.02.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
03.09.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
25.04.2015 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.10.2014 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-3 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
1-0
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.87 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
171 Passes 199
59% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE edged past Kecskemeti TE 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Paksi SE had 48% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 52%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.87 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paksi SE and 1.67 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Kecskemeti TE?

Paksi SE 1-0 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 50%, draw 24%, Kecskemeti TE 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ BTTS No
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