Cafetaleros de Chiapas 1-4 Montaneses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cafetaleros de Chiapas EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Montaneses EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cafetaleros de Chiapas vs Montaneses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montaneses ran out comfortable winners over Cafetaleros de Chiapas 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cafetaleros de Chiapas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Cafetaleros de Chiapas vs Montaneses?

Cafetaleros de Chiapas 1-4 Montaneses in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cafetaleros de Chiapas vs Montaneses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cafetaleros de Chiapas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cafetaleros de Chiapas 41%, draw 30%, Montaneses 28%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cafetaleros de Chiapas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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