11/02/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Pumas UNAM U23 vs Puebla U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
25%
30%
Draw
27%
30%
Away Win
48%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM U23 v Puebla U23 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pumas UNAM U23
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Puebla U23
EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
262 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
321 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pumas UNAM U23 vs Puebla U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Puebla U23 got the better of Pumas UNAM U23 2-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Puebla U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM U23 vs Puebla U23?
Pumas UNAM U23 0-2 Puebla U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM U23 vs Puebla U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM U23 40%, draw 30%, Puebla U23 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM U23) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Pumas UNAM U23)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
11 Feb 2024