Orgánica Masachapa 0-1 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 29%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.38
+106% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.10.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 3-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
20.08.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-0 HT 0-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
POST-MATCH Orgánica Masachapa vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Ocotal squeezed past Orgánica Masachapa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Ocotal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Orgánica Masachapa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orgánica Masachapa and 0.50 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Orgánica Masachapa vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Orgánica Masachapa 0-1 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orgánica Masachapa vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orgánica Masachapa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Orgánica Masachapa 39%, draw 29%, Deportivo Ocotal 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orgánica Masachapa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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