UNAN Managua 1-0 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.0pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 43%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
2.02/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.02
+51% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
21.08.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
11.03.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-1 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
23.01.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
11.04.2022 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 4-1 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
20.02.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-2 HT 2-2 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua nicked a narrow win over Walter Ferretti 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; UNAN Managua found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walter Ferretti led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UNAN Managua and 1.33 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Walter Ferretti?

UNAN Managua 1-0 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 38%, draw 32%, Walter Ferretti 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UNAN Managua), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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