Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Varzim
POR3
3-0
HT 1-0
Lusitania FC Lourosa
POR3
Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa edged past Varzim 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 47% of the ball to Varzim's 53%, shots finished 13-14.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 2.00 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 46%, draw 27%, Varzim 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.