Sporting Braga II vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga II v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga II vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Alverca
POR3
2-1
HT 1-1
Sporting Braga II
POR3
Sporting Braga II 2-1 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga II squeezed past Alverca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Braga II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Braga II had 43% of the ball to Alverca's 57%, shots finished 9-9.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Braga II and 1.00 for Alverca.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Alverca?
Sporting Braga II 2-1 Alverca in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 41%, draw 25%, Alverca 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.