IMT Novi Beograd 0-2 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 58%
+70% / +70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.85/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.12
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
12.0 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.15 xG 1.21
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
191 Passes 434
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0-2
AWAY Backa Topola
2.25 xG 2.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
260 Passes 390
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola beat IMT Novi Beograd 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 44% of the ball to Backa Topola's 56%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 2.25 to 2.70.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola?

IMT Novi Beograd 0-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 24%, draw 24%, Backa Topola 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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