Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.27/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.22
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
22.8 Crosses 20.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
225 Passes 294
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
41 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 4-1 HT 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
07.04.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
10.10.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-3 HT 0-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
19.03.2022 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
03.11.2021 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
25.10.2014 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3-2
AWAY Radnicki Nis
2.45 xG 1.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
232 Passes 232
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac squeezed past Radnicki Nis 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 49% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 51%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.45 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki Nis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.33 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Radnicki Nis?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 41%, draw 27%, Radnicki Nis 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
11 Feb 2024
17:00 IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola Analysis →