Carabobo 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-15.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.9pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.29/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.59
+20% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
22.5 Crosses 11.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
455 Passes 288
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
18.03.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
22.07.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
01.05.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-3 HT 1-2 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-0
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
0.82 xG 0.82
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
337 Passes 177
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo edged past Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Carabobo had 61% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 39%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.82 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carabobo and 1.00 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Carabobo 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 47%, draw 30%, Hermanos Colmenarez 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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