Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

Deportivo La Guaira
2-1 HT 1-1
Monagas
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Guaira v Monagas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -2%
1.06/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.03
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
15.9 Crosses 19.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Monagas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
322 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
05.02.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
09.07.2022 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
15.05.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-5 HT 1-2 Monagas Monagas VEN
06.12.2021 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
15.11.2021 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN

Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Monagas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-1
AWAY Monagas
2.03 xG 0.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
383 Passes 248
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira edged past Monagas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Guaira found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 58% of the ball to Monagas's 42%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.03 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo La Guaira's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.67 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas?

Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 39%, draw 32%, Monagas 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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