Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo La Guaira v Monagas — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Monagas — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo La Guaira edged past Monagas 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Guaira found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Deportivo La Guaira had 58% of the ball to Monagas's 42%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.03 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo La Guaira's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.67 for Monagas.
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas Result & Final Score
Deportivo La Guaira 2 - 1 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 37%, draw 31%, Monagas 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.