Hartlepool United 2-2 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 11 Feb 2025

Hartlepool United
2-2 HT 1-2
Tamworth
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Hartlepool United vs Tamworth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.95
Over Pick
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.34
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.21
6+
13%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.36
1/2 ✗
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
18%
4.4
X/2
11%
8.62
X/X
9%
5.05
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
10%
6.65
2/X
7%
14.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Hartlepool United v Tamworth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth The Market 26%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.51 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.31
1.02 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.37
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
127 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 112 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3

Hartlepool United vs Tamworth Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Tamworth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İNFAT
20.08.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL

Hartlepool United 2-2 Tamworth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
2-2
AWAY Tamworth
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Hartlepool United vs Tamworth
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hartlepool United and Tamworth finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hartlepool United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (1.80, ~56%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, possession split 64% to 36% in Hartlepool United's favour, shots finished 16-9.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Hartlepool United against 0.50 for Tamworth.

Hartlepool United vs Tamworth Result & Final Score

Hartlepool United 2-2 Tamworth in the England - National League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hartlepool United vs Tamworth Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 47%, draw 24%, Tamworth 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartlepool United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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