Tamworth 0-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.1
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
11%
5.6
X/2
9%
4.98
X/X
13%
4.46
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
22%
3.49
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.21/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.16
-13% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
0-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United squeezed past Tamworth 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hartlepool United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tamworth had 53% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 47%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Hartlepool United?

Tamworth 0-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 34%, draw 29%, Hartlepool United 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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