Maidenhead United 0-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.58
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.59
X/2
13%
5.8
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.76
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.32/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.72
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
343 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Altrincham
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 1-3 HT 1-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
26.09.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
17.01.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 3-2 HT 2-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
16.08.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
05.03.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-0 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
09.10.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
0-1
AWAY Altrincham
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham squeezed past Maidenhead United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Altrincham made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 50% of the ball to Altrincham's 50%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Maidenhead United and 1.17 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Altrincham?

Maidenhead United 0-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 38%, draw 26%, Altrincham 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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