Altrincham 1-3 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.8
X/1
19%
3.5
X/2
7%
14.15
X/X
7%
6.09
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
11%
11.6
2/X
6%
19.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +5%
2.55/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.73
+39% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
17.01.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 3-2 HT 2-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
16.08.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
05.03.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-0 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
09.10.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
27.03.2021 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-3
AWAY Maidenhead United
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United saw off Altrincham 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Altrincham carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Altrincham had 61% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 39%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Altrincham and 0.67 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Maidenhead United?

Altrincham 1-3 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 56%, draw 21%, Maidenhead United 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Altrincham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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