Solihull Moors 2-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.09
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.08
X/2
9%
6.39
X/X
11%
5.02
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
14%
4.25
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.0pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.55/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.49
+8% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Solihull Moors
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-2 HT 0-2 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
15.11.2022 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors FAK
05.11.2022 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-2 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United FAK
09.02.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 1-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
01.12.2020 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
03.03.2020 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Solihull Moors
2-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Solihull Moors vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors nicked a narrow win over Hartlepool United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Solihull Moors made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Solihull Moors had 59% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 41%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Solihull Moors and 1.00 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Solihull Moors vs Hartlepool United?

Solihull Moors 2-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Solihull Moors vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Solihull Moors win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Solihull Moors 40%, draw 30%, Hartlepool United 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Solihull Moors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Solihull Moors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
24 Feb 2024
15:30 Eastleigh vs Bromley Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 Woking vs Wealdstone Analysis →
18:00 Oldham Athletic vs Kidderminster Harriers Analysis →
18:00 Southend United vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
18:00 Boreham Wood vs AFC Fylde Analysis →