Boreham Wood 4-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 25% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.22
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
11%
5.32
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
6.17
X/X
7%
5.13
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
15%
3.97
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · X/2 at 6.17 — our 18% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.19/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.73
-18% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AFC Fylde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-2 HT 1-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
01.02.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-2 HT 1-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
26.10.2019 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
09.03.2019 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
24.11.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 0-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
03.05.2018 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 2-1 HT 2-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
4-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood ran out comfortable winners over AFC Fylde 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Boreham Wood made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 52% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 48%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boreham Wood and 1.50 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs AFC Fylde?

Boreham Wood 4-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 35%, draw 25%, AFC Fylde 40%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Fylde), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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