Oldham Athletic 1-2 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.08
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.06
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
18%
4.29
X/2
12%
6.49
X/X
11%
3.9
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
12%
5.44
2/X
8%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.87/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.26
+22% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
03.11.2012 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-2
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers edged past Oldham Athletic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Oldham Athletic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 51% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 49%, shots finished 4-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Oldham Athletic and 0.50 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Oldham Athletic 1-2 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - National League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 43%, draw 25%, Kidderminster Harriers 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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